Crisis in Ukraine, did the talks between the US and Russia fail? –

From Paulo Valentino

The parties talk about a “deadlock”, but what they talk about is success

Related Berlin – Mosca will not wait long for Western counter-proposals for its security demands. At the end of a weekly interview Organization for Security and Cooperation in Russia, US, NATO and OSCE, Europe, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov He said that His government expects a written response By the United States and its allies next week

. “Our patience is running out, the West has become arrogant and has escalated tensions by violating its obligations and common sense,” the head of Moscow’s diplomacy said with thunder, reiterating the decisive guarantee. NATO’s firm rejection of expansion to the east, Primarily to Ukraine. But Lavrov did not specify what Russia would actually do in the event of a denial, generally stating that Moscow would “reliably guarantee its security”, citing the already-mentioned “techno-military operations”. Vladimir Putin.

1 – Did the interviews yield any results?
At a definite level, no. The Americans and Western allies have firmly rejected Russia’s demands, which include, in addition to the NATO freeze, the reduction of military aid to Kiev and the withdrawal of Allied troops from Russia’s border areas. American correspondent Wendy Sherman called them “no beginning”. At the same time, its Russian counterpart, Sergei Rybkov, Said the negotiations had reached a “stalemate” due to the structural diversity of the approach. That is, the positions are far apart. Nevertheless, if we measure the total deficit in recent months and years, the three rounds of meetings should be considered a victory for the simple fact that they took place. The United States has reunited the Atlantic Front and returned its own to NATO Purpose And clearly states what is negotiated and what is not. For the first time since the end of the Cold War, Russia has been recognized as a strategic spokesperson. According to Jack Sullivan, the White House’s national security adviser, “these are open, direct and effective talks that give us and them something to reflect on.”

2 – What is happening now?
America is outOr the door may be open to other meetings. However, Ryapkov said new contacts were not needed. In fact, he warned that Moscow could allocate “military infrastructure” to Cuba or Venezuela if tensions with Washington escalate.
In Latin America: “I do not affirm or exclude anything, it depends on the actions of our American partners.” But US Secretary of State Tony Blingen put the ball back in jail
The Kremlin MP asked Putin “whether he will choose the path of diplomacy and dialogue, or whether conflict and aggression will continue.” Today it is impossible to predict what Putin will decide. Sullivan, however, says the United States and its allies are ready for any decision after the meetings. A proposal from Poland is to intensify the dialogue on security within the OSCE framework in which all the protagonists, including Ukraine, are represented. But Moscow has not yet given any answer.

3 – Has the risk of war increased or decreased in Ukraine?
The risk of things getting out of hand has increased. According to Michael Carpenter, US Ambassador to the OSCE, “war drums roll louder and rhetoric increases.” Polish Foreign Minister Zbigniew Rau says “the risk of war in the OSCE region has never been higher in 30 years”. But there is no clarity about Putin’s real intentions of amassing 100,000 troops on the Ukrainian border. Sullivan revealed that, according to intelligence reports, Russia was trying to create excuses for invasion through misinformation. However, you are not told that you are using it. According to another U.S. official, there have been recent moves by troops from Siberia to the Ukrainian border, but not “significant”. The only real thing is that Putin did not point to easing military pressure on the borders. But this is not enough to push the administration to launch new barriers as a deterrent. “This is not a productive way,” said a Blingen colleague.

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